Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.028089 0.030177 0.032276 0.034542 0.036916 0.039328 0.041959
2026-01-18 0.024613 0.027921 0.031367 0.035215 0.039379 0.043737 0.048632
2026-01-25 0.022013 0.026000 0.030265 0.035143 0.040540 0.046307 0.052908
2026-02-01 0.020052 0.024518 0.029404 0.035103 0.041528 0.048505 0.056614
2026-02-08 0.018416 0.023238 0.028620 0.035010 0.042329 0.050390 0.059880
2026-02-15 0.017005 0.022100 0.027892 0.034881 0.043002 0.052059 0.062843
2026-02-22 0.015823 0.021143 0.027296 0.034832 0.043703 0.053709 0.065742
2026-03-01 0.014606 0.020065 0.026489 0.034470 0.043984 0.054831 0.068000
2026-03-08 0.013329 0.018839 0.025438 0.033756 0.043796 0.055364 0.069539
2026-03-15 0.012192 0.017724 0.024463 0.033079 0.043604 0.055852 0.070991
2026-03-22 0.011804 0.017536 0.024611 0.033753 0.045020 0.058229 0.074661
2026-03-29 0.011192 0.017024 0.024326 0.033867 0.045739 0.059766 0.077331
2026-04-05 0.010461 0.016356 0.023860 0.033794 0.046287 0.061179 0.079967
2026-04-12 0.010075 0.016141 0.023973 0.034461 0.047771 0.063755 0.084049
2026-04-19 0.009422 0.015523 0.023531 0.034389 0.048312 0.065172 0.086726
2026-04-26 0.008834 0.014962 0.023133 0.034350 0.048875 0.066602 0.089411
2026-05-03 0.008273 0.014404 0.022714 0.034259 0.049352 0.067912 0.091946
2026-05-10 0.007740 0.013859 0.022285 0.034132 0.049765 0.069132 0.094363
2026-05-17 0.007273 0.013384 0.021930 0.034083 0.050265 0.070451 0.096899
2026-05-24 0.006737 0.012775 0.021363 0.033726 0.050344 0.071226 0.098751
2026-05-31 0.006131 0.012024 0.020563 0.033023 0.049943 0.071373 0.099802
2026-06-07 0.005582 0.011327 0.019811 0.032357 0.049566 0.071532 0.100851
2026-06-14 0.005449 0.011291 0.020016 0.033020 0.050966 0.073975 0.104799